Sunday, 26 October, 2014
Commodity Trading 101
  • Commodity Trading is Risky Business

     Risk in Commodity Trading

    Despite what you may have read in books, magazines, or even heard on infomercials, trading options and futures entails substantial risks and is not suitable for everyone.  On the other hand, trading in futures and options can be financially rewarding but you must realize that where there is potential opportunity there is a corresponding amount of danger.  For this reason, only risk capital ... Read More

  • Day Trading: Risk Averse need not Apply

    Risk in Day Trading FuturesTraders are often lured to into the futures markets with a fascination for day trading.  The thought of trading leveraged contracts without overnight risk is appealing to many, but underestimated by most.  As a retail broker I have had the pleasure, and the pain, of watching day traders attempt to profit through strategies ranging from scalping to "position" intra-day trading which spans several ho... Read More

  • Getting Started in Interest Rate Futures

    Interest Rate Futures

    As you have likely discovered, the term commodity can be used to describe a wide array of assets.  The formal definition of a commodity is a physical substance or asset that is “interchangeable” in trade.  From a more general standpoint, a commodity is any product that trades on a futures exchange.  Along with grains such as corn and wheat, commodities also come in the form of fina... Read More

  • Getting Acquainted with Stock Index Futures

    Calculating Profit and Loss in Stock Index Futures

    If you are like most people, you work hard for your money and the last thing you want to do is see it evaporate in your trading account.  Throughout my journey in the markets, I have yet to find a fool proof way to guarantee profitable trading, but what I am certain of is that you... Read More

  • Dollars and Sense

    Trading Euro Futures

    Thanks to the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange); financial institutions along with investment managers, corporations and private entrepreneurs have a regulated and centralized forum in which they can manager their risk exposure to changes in currency valuations.  Naturally, where there are hedging opportunities there is also room for mass speculation and that is exactly what occurs every Sunday afternoon through Friday at the CME.... Read More

  • Order Types and Placing Them

    Commodity Brokers

    Sometimes it is the small details that make the big difference in performance.  Familiarity with order types and how to properly place each of them is critical to being a successful trader.  Market prices and dynamics are ever-changing, making every second count.  Regardless of whether you are trading online or through a broker, knowing the type of order you need to place and placing it accurately is vital.  Read More

Stock Index and Bond Futures Trading
Is the year-end equity rally already in the works? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Thursday, 23 October 2014 11:30

 

Stock Index and Bond Futures Market Analysis

Two people with Ebola triggers mass hysteria in the markets, but a Dr. in NYC and others (potentially) with the virus resulted in a mere pause in the buying.

Recent trade in the equity and bond markets are a perfect example of just how irrational markets can be.  Further, that market prices are driven by emotion and margin motivation far more than logic. 

The same news that lured investors to sell their holdings last week (Ebola) are being ignored this week despite being a considerable bigger threat.  With that said, we've always looked at Ebola as the market's excuse to correct rather than a true threat to GDP.

We had been in the camp that the equity market "needed" a good correction, and that Treasuries "needed" a good short squeeze.  Both finally came to pass, but emotion took things a little further than we had anticipated.  Nonetheless, now that we've seen these two events we believe...

Last Updated on Thursday, 23 October 2014 11:41
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Can the S&P find a botttom? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Thursday, 16 October 2014 12:59

E-mini S&P and NASDAQ Futures Recommendations

This is probably much ado about nothing

As treacherous as the financial markets have been this week, one might assume there was some sort of significant economic development, or political calamity.  However, we've had a relatively boring slate of economic news and global political events have been relatively tame. 

This type of price action "should" have occurred months ago when the Middle East and Russia was on the verge of war.  I'll admit, when the markets found a way to weather that storm my bearish inclination dissipated a bit.  We have been waiting for this type of much needed deep correction for several months; ironically it occurred with relatively random timing and lacking a clear catalyst.

We realize many are blaming the Ebola scare but we have to give the general public more credit than that. Although it is clearly a concern, the odds of an Ebola breakout that dents GDP is slim.&nbsp...

Last Updated on Thursday, 16 October 2014 13:11
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Day Trading ES Futures PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Wednesday, 08 October 2014 07:23

Day Trading Time Frames and Emotional Strategies

 

Continue reading this article on TraderPlanet!

 

Trader Planet Day Trading the ES ArticleThere are plenty of compelling reasons to prefer day trading in the ES (e-mini S&P futures). For starters, it is a highly liquid and leveraged product and the ease of exiting by the close of trade eliminates overnight risk.  Further, profits (ideally) and losses are supercharged and fast.  As great as this might sound to the inexperienced, the difficultly of the practice is largely underestimated.

Read more...
 
Carley Garner Natural Gas Analysis on Mad Money PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Wednesday, 24 September 2014 13:59

Natural Gas Market AnalysisCNBC's Jim Cramer featured DeCarley Trading's natural gas analysis on the September 23rd episode of Mad Money

 

If you missed the original airing, click here to view a clip of the show

Natural gas prices aren’t quite as cheap as they were at this time last year heading into the winter season, but they are close.  Further, there are some glaring similarities between the current environment, and that of a year ago that could compel the bulls to step in. 


You might recall that natural gas prices essentially doubled from August 2013 through February 2014; we may not get a repeat to the magnitude, but we believe there is potential for a move toward the $5.00 mmBtu (10,000 million British thermal...

Read more...
 
Carley Garner in the Mad Money studio! PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Friday, 08 August 2014 08:59

Carley Garner was a guest on Jim Cramer's Mad Money on Wednesday August 6th!! 

 

Carley Garner on Jim Cramer's Mad MoneyCNBC's Jim Cramer talks to one of his favorite 'chartists,' Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading, about two commodities that could feel the impact of events in Ukraine -- oil and gold.

If you missed the original airing, click here to view a clip of the show.

DeCarley Trading works hard to provide clients with quality insight into the markets.  Carley Garner visited the set of Mad Money this week to discuss one of our recent issues of the DeCarley Perspective focused on  gold and crude oil analysis (he segment aired on CNBC's Mad Money on August 6th). 

The DeCarley Perspective is a publication distributed exclusively to DeCarley's brokerage clients.  If you are interested in being part...

Last Updated on Friday, 08 August 2014 09:09
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CBOT Grain Futures Seasonal Trading PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Friday, 27 June 2014 05:06

Summer seasonal trade idea in corn

Continue reading on TraderPlanet.com

CBOT Grain Futures and Options Seasonal TradingEach individual locale has a relatively unique planting and harvest cycle; further, crops around the world face various windows of opportunity for the optimal growing season.  Nevertheless, as a U.S. based commodity trader, the focus should primarily be on the domestic crop cycles because it is these that will have the largest impact on the Chicago Board of Trade corn futures contract.  Additionally, U.S. corn production accounts for between 35 to 40% of world production, making the U.S. crop critical to global supply and demand fundamentals.  These annual planting and harvest cycles, produce recognizable price patterns in the futures markets that might be useful to speculators.

As mentioned...

Last Updated on Wednesday, 08 October 2014 06:44
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