Friday, 28 November, 2014
Commodity Trading 101
  • Commodity Trading is Risky Business

     Risk in Commodity Trading

    Despite what you may have read in books, magazines, or even heard on infomercials, trading options and futures entails substantial risks and is not suitable for everyone.  On the other hand, trading in futures and options can be financially rewarding but you must realize that where there is potential opportunity there is a corresponding amount of danger.  For this reason, only risk capital ... Read More

  • Day Trading: Risk Averse need not Apply

    Risk in Day Trading FuturesTraders are often lured to into the futures markets with a fascination for day trading.  The thought of trading leveraged contracts without overnight risk is appealing to many, but underestimated by most.  As a retail broker I have had the pleasure, and the pain, of watching day traders attempt to profit through strategies ranging from scalping to "position" intra-day trading which spans several ho... Read More

  • Getting Started in Interest Rate Futures

    Interest Rate Futures

    As you have likely discovered, the term commodity can be used to describe a wide array of assets.  The formal definition of a commodity is a physical substance or asset that is “interchangeable” in trade.  From a more general standpoint, a commodity is any product that trades on a futures exchange.  Along with grains such as corn and wheat, commodities also come in the form of fina... Read More

  • Getting Acquainted with Stock Index Futures

    Calculating Profit and Loss in Stock Index Futures

    If you are like most people, you work hard for your money and the last thing you want to do is see it evaporate in your trading account.  Throughout my journey in the markets, I have yet to find a fool proof way to guarantee profitable trading, but what I am certain of is that you... Read More

  • Dollars and Sense

    Trading Euro Futures

    Thanks to the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange); financial institutions along with investment managers, corporations and private entrepreneurs have a regulated and centralized forum in which they can manager their risk exposure to changes in currency valuations.  Naturally, where there are hedging opportunities there is also room for mass speculation and that is exactly what occurs every Sunday afternoon through Friday at the CME.... Read More

  • Order Types and Placing Them

    Commodity Brokers

    Sometimes it is the small details that make the big difference in performance.  Familiarity with order types and how to properly place each of them is critical to being a successful trader.  Market prices and dynamics are ever-changing, making every second count.  Regardless of whether you are trading online or through a broker, knowing the type of order you need to place and placing it accurately is vital.  Read More

Stock Index and Bond Futures Trading
FOMC minutes and the futures markets PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Wednesday, 19 November 2014 13:14

Trade ES and ZB Futures

The Fed considered making a change, but didn't

The release of FOMC minutes (basically a transcript of the discussions that took place in the most recent Fed meeting), can't get much more boring than they were today.  There are days the minutes trigger nearly as much volatility than the actual FOMC meeting; obviously, this wasn't one of those occasions. 

The Fed minutes were exactly as most expected them to be.  All but one member supported the end of the quantitative easing program.  Further, there was some consideration of dropping the phrase "for a considerable time" in regards to their time frame to keep rates at record low levels. 

The Fed is expecting market "turbulence" once the decision to increase interest rates is made.  However, I'm not sure that is necessarily the case.  I would argue that most market participants are expecting higher interest rates in 2015, and most of them believe changes in monetary...

Last Updated on Wednesday, 19 November 2014 13:26
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Back and fill, but the ES probably hasn't seen the high of this move. PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Tuesday, 04 November 2014 12:57

Trade Financial Futures with DeCarley Trading

It will be a busy news week!

The economic calendar is full, and so are the the piggy banks of speculators.  Despite the massive equity rally, we suspect that most traders missed the move and are sitting on piles of cash (primarily from poorly timed equity market liquidation in mid October). 

Similarly, the COT report suggests that speculators have liquidated bullish crude and gold plays.  In our view, the environment is ripe for a lot of "green" on the quote screen.  If we are right, we could see a scenario in which commodities and stocks move higher in tandem.

On a side note, we are looking forward to the ADP report in the morning; this will give us an arguably inaccurate glimpse into Friday's government data.   Nonetheless, it will be Friday's session that could see fireworks.

Specs are getting shorter, seasonal low isn't due until early December

According to our stats...

Last Updated on Tuesday, 04 November 2014 13:06
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Trade Commodities Like a Girl PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Tuesday, 28 October 2014 05:47

 

See our article in the Fall TraderPlanet Journal!

Trade Futures and Options like a "girl"Ignoring political incorrectness and short-comings of stereo types; in our view, trading "like a girl" simply means keeping risk relatively low, even if it means similar profit prospects.  More specifically, this might infer taking quick profits if the opportunity presents itself,  shooting  for base hits rather than home-runs, and basing decisions on logic rather than pride or bragging rights. 

Naturally, not all females will behave in this nature and not all males are without these qualities but we argue that traders of all types (and genders) may be better off following these straightforward principals.  The goal is to open your eyes to a relatively conservative side of trading without eliminating the lucrative nature of commodities that lured you to the markets in the first place.

 

Last Updated on Tuesday, 28 October 2014 06:24
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Day Trading ES Futures PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Wednesday, 08 October 2014 07:23

Day Trading Time Frames and Emotional Strategies

 

Continue reading this article on TraderPlanet!

 

Trader Planet Day Trading the ES ArticleThere are plenty of compelling reasons to prefer day trading in the ES (e-mini S&P futures). For starters, it is a highly liquid and leveraged product and the ease of exiting by the close of trade eliminates overnight risk.  Further, profits (ideally) and losses are supercharged and fast.  As great as this might sound to the inexperienced, the difficultly of the practice is largely underestimated.

Read more...
 
LIKE DeCarley Trading on Facebook PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Thursday, 10 January 2013 08:53
Last Updated on Thursday, 10 January 2013 08:56
 
A Trader's First Book on Commodities, Second Edition PDF Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Tuesday, 08 January 2013 07:48

A Trader's First Book on Commodities by Carley GarnerThere is a new version of "A Trader's First Book on Commodities" by Carley Garner of DeCarley Trading!

Although it has only been a few years since the original version of “A Trader’s First Book on Commodities”, we have seen dramatic changes in the futures and options industry. The most profound change has come to light in the aftermath of two major futures brokerage firm failures. Similarly, improvements in technology and competitive intra-day position margin standards have had profound impacts on the markets, and those trading them. Here are a few highlights of the Second Edition additions:

- The new reality of the commodity markets and the impact increased volatility has had on traders

- Discussions of the collapse of two major commodity brokers and the long term impact on traders and the industry as a whole

- Improvements in market access due to...

Read more...
 
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